New Hampshire Primary 2016 Preview: Early Votes Revealed, Sanders Odds' Favorite to Win
The “First-in-the-Nation” primary is tonight from New Hampshire, and votes have already been announced candidates are looking for momentum in the presidential race.
Early Primary Election Results
As midnight struck New Hampshire, three towns had begun and quickly finished casting their votes. In Dixville Notch, a town with nine eligible voters, leaned Republican. Ohio Gov. John Kasich received three votes, ahead of Donald Trump's two votes. On the Democratic field, Bernie Sanders received swept Hillary Clinton with four votes to zero votes.
In Millsfield, Texas Sen. Ted Cruz won the Republican vote with nine votes, ahead of Trump's three votes. Meanwhile, Florida Sen. Marco Rubio, former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush, New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie, former HP CEO Carly Fiorina and Kasich received one vote. Despite suspending his campaign last week, Kentucky Sen. Rand Paul also received one vote. Unlike Dixville Notch, Clinton secured a victory over Sanders with two votes to one.
At Hart's Location, Kasich, once again, took the lead with five votes, while Trump maintained second place with four votes. Christie attracted two votes, while retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson, Bush and Rubio received one vote. For the Democrats, Sanders built on his lead with 12 additional votes, ahead of Clinton's seven votes. Two votes were also cast for Mark Stewart Greenstein.
Based on polling data, Sanders is expected to win New Hampshire, and likely by double digits. Analyzing six New Hampshire surveys conducted between Feb. 2 and Feb. 8, RealClearPolitics has averaged Sanders with a 13.3-percent lead over Clinton, specifically 54.5 percent to 41.2 percent.
Even the folks from FiveThirtyEight projects Sanders has a "greater than 99 [percent] chance" of winning the Granite State's primary. The odds are lower for the Republican field, but still heavily favorable for Trump. With 69 percent, Trump is projected to win the primary, according to FiveThirtyEight, while Rubio and Kasich are likely finish second and third place, respectively.
While a Clinton loss is expected, the former secretary of state is dismissing rumors of a staff shake-up. During an interview with MSNBC, Clinton said her campaign will shift to a different phase but it's as a result of the next states in the primary process, which includes diverse populations in Nevada (Feb. 20) and South Carolina (Feb. 27).
"We're going to take stock but it's going to be the campaign that I've got. I'm very confident in the people that I have. ... We're going to take stock, what works, what doesn't work," said Clinton. "We're moving into a different phase of the campaign. We're moving into a more diverse electorate. We're moving into different geographic areas. So, of course it would be malpractice not to say, 'OK, what worked? What can we do better? What do we have to do new and different that we have to pull out?'"
Voting locations will close at 7 p.m. EST.
For the latest updates, follow Latin Post's Politics Editor Michael Oleaga on Twitter: @EditorMikeO or contact via email: email@example.com.
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